189th Seminar of the European Association of Agricultural Economists (EAAE)

EU enlargement by (post-)war Ukraine: Implications for the Agri-Food Markets

Important deadlines

We welcome attendees without submitted abstracts to participate as discussants and audience members

Abstract submission

April 29, 2024

Author notification

June 10, 2024

Early registration deadline

July 15, 2024

Deadline full papers

October 1, 2024

Deadline registration

September 1, 2024


@DmyTo / AdobeStock
Since 2017, the EU-Ukraine Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA) Agreement has been in force to strengthen Ukraine's political ties and economic integration with the EU further. Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, Ukraine applied for EU membership and was granted EU candidate status in June 2022.

Ukraine’s agricultural sector is market-oriented, competitive, and resources-abundant. The total agricultural land amounts to 42.2 million hectares, of which 32 million hectares are arable land. Thus, Ukraine's agricultural area corresponds to 25% of the EU's agricultural area and one-third of the EU's arable land. Also, Ukraine is the world’s third-largest exporter of rapeseed, the seventh-largest exporter of soybeans, and fourth-largest exporter of corn.
The EU agri-food sector has been strongly affected by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. In the early days of the war, energy and fertilizer prices spiked, leading to increased production costs for various agricultural products. Similarly, the prices of agricultural products have risen due to shortages, risks, and uncertainty about Ukraine's potential exports. This has also led to food price inflation for consumers, reducing their purchasing power.
In June 2023, the European Commission decided to open the EU market for imports from Ukraine. The EU agricultural sector was supported by a €330 million exceptional support package to compensate farmers for possible income losses resulting from the market liberalisation. In addition, a €100 million aid package was provided to address market imbalances in Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia. The agri-food sectors of Ukraine and the EU are very closely linked, and both countries face challenges in adapting to the new situation. The Ukrainian agri-food sector certainly needs support to survive during the war and to recover and rebuild after the war.
The EU market, in turn, will need measures, instruments, and policies to maintain its competitiveness if the war is protracted. In addition, since Ukraine and the EU are such large regions in economic terms, the integration of Ukraine into the EU will bring significant changes – opportunities but also challenges – to the agri-food sector in Ukraine, as well as to the agri-food sectors of the EU Member States and other non-EU countries. It will also likely require adjustments to the EU's Common Agricultural Policy.

Objectives and scope of the seminar

The seminar intends to bring a broad range of research disciplines together to discuss the effects of the Russian war against Ukraine on the agricultural sector in Ukraine, the EU, and non-EU countries. Further, the seminar aims at discussing the results of the scenario analyses of the economic impact of a further integration of Ukraine into European agri-food markets.

The seminar offers a platform to exchange ideas and generate an integrated view of agricultural potential, value chain development, and public policy in the broad European context. The seminar primarily addresses the scientific community but is also open to decision-makers in business, politics, and NGOs, including the donor community.

Among others, the expected topics to be covered by the papers include the following items:

Analysis of changes in the structure/organization of agricultural production, trade, and prices in Ukraine in the last decade and expected future trends.

Quantification of short- and long-term effects of the war on the agri-food sectors and food security in Ukraine, EU member states, as well as non-EU countries and regions, including solutions and policy recommendations.

Analysis of effects of past and future agricultural trade policy and other policies related to the war in Ukraine on the agri-food sectors.

Scenario analysis of the effects of Ukraine’s accession to the EU for agri-food sectors in Ukraine, EU member states, as well as non-EU countries.